A couple of tips from Market Rasen on Wednesday, coming right up…
At 2.35 we’ve got a 0-130 handicap chase over 2m3f – and I’m sweet on the chance of GRANDADS COTTAGE.
Olly Murphy’s eight-year-old is unexposed for his age and has only had two tries over fences, winning at his first attempt off a mark of 124 before a decent second last time out when upped 3lbs.
The son of Shantou sets the standard on those two efforts this term, and this looks a very winnable contest for him.
The three at the bottom of the market are hard to make a case for, while Skytastic has ran three inexcusably bad races – albeit at a much higher level – and cannot be advised.
So, for me at least, this is a match between the selection and Viva Lavilla. The latter is a definite threat, but what swings it in favour of Grandads Cottage is the form of his trainer.
Murphy is operating at a fantastic 27% strike rate with 12 wins from his last 45 runners in the last two weeks. Sean Bowen is also riding his fair share of winners lately.
Fingers crossed Grandads Cotttage can get us off to a flyer here.
The card concludes at 4.53 with a competitive-looking bumper – and this time I’m opposing Olly Murphy.
To put it bluntly, I think his runner has a fair job on his hands to give 7lbs to Sam Thomas’ KATATE DORI.
Thomas is in red-hot form himself, with 5/15 winners (33% strike rate) in the last 14 days, and this is clearly a horse they think a lot of for he was thrown into a Listed race at Cheltenham on his debut.
He ran respectably that day, given the circumstances, and was just headed last time out in a 15-runner affair at Warwick. Not only do I think he’ll be better on this slightly nicer ground, but I am expecting a fair bit of improvement that should see him hard to beat in this company.
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