Novak Djokovic is back in Australia and this time he won’t be (not so) politely asked to leave the country. 12 months after his deportation he lines up as the favourite for the ATP Adelaide International 1 and we take a look at the odds in the markets according to Betfred…
ATP Adelaide International 1 Betting Tips:
Back Jannik Sinner to win at 10/1
Back Kyle Edmund each-way at 100/1
It isn’t a shock to see the Serb at the top of the betting for this tournament as the former World Number One is priced at 4/6 to end the tournament holding aloft the trophy. Djokovic finished last season as the losing finalist in the ATP Tour Finals to Casper Ruud and will have arrived down under extremely determined to have a far better experience than he did a year ago.
Back then, he would have gone into the Australian as the overwhelming favourite to win in Melbourne. Rather than winning what would have been his 21st Grand Slam, he saw long-time rival Rafa Nadal fight his way to another as the battle to call themselves the winningest Grand Slam winner took a bit of a surprise twist.
Djokovic however has been drawn in the same half of the draw as Danill Medvedev (5/1) as the two favourites for the event are set for a collision course in the semi’s rather than in the final itself.
Last year didn’t see a plethora of top names at the event due to Australia’s Covid-19 situation but eight of the world’s top 32 are involved. One name just outside the top 32 to keep an eye on is young Brit Jack Draper. The 21 year-old is already at a career high of 40 and was victorious in his Round of 32 game against Kwon Soon-woo but is in that tougher half of the draw.
On the bottom side, the number two seed Felix Auger Aliassime has already departed the tournament going out in straight sets in the Round of 32. One name to watch in this half is local boy Thanasi Kokkinakis who made the semi-finals here as a wildcard last year and would go on to win the second event. He is a 33/1 shot to win it all albeit against much tougher competition this year.
Andy Murray is still playing and the 35 year-old is currently ranked at 49 in the world and comes into the Adelaide event as a 50/1 shot. He would be in line to play Andrey Rublev in the Round of 16 and the Russian has a great opportunity to go deep in the event with two seeds having already lost in his half. I don’t fancy him to win however as the winner of Jannik Sinner vs Kyle Edmund would be my pick of the players to emerge from the bottom half of the draw.
Sinner is 10/1 to win the tournament and the injury-plagued Edmund is ten-times longer at 100/1. At those prices, a small punt of the Brit seems to be a value play. Remember before the injuries, he was a semi-finalist in the Australian Open.
The value is in the bottom half as picking who will emerge from the Djokovic and Medvedev half is a tough proposition hence why my betting eyes are drawn to what is happening away from the favourites.
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