Betfred columnist Owen McMahon shares his best bets for the second day of York’s Ebor Festival
I asked myself yesterday, am I being silly opposing Baaeed with Mishriff in the Juddmonte International? The answer – a resounding yes. What a superstar. One of the true great performances from the son of Sea The Stars.
To add to my misery, my trusty old friend Secret State, who before yesterday I’d tipped up twice this season (and he won them both), could only manage second half an hour before, so it wasn’t the best day for me on the tipping front.
Hopefully today will be better, starting with Richard Hannon’s SHOULDVEBEENARING in the Premier Yearling Stakes – a 6f juvenile sprint – at 2.25.
Firstly, this is a race Hannon Jr has a really strong record in. I’m remembering Mums Tipple, who was backed off the boards before the off and put in one of the greatest performances I’ve seen on a racecourse.
I’m not suggesting Shouldvebeenaring will do that, but I don’t think it’s by chance that this son of Havana Grey has been kept off the track for 95 days. I get the impression he’s been kept for this, and they’re expecting a big performance.
His form is respectable too. He put a modest debut effort, when beaten almost six lengths by the now 100+ rated Rocket Rodney, well behind him when winning going away at Ripon when last seen. That form isn’t special by any means, but it’s decent enough, and I think he’ll have improved significantly since then too.
There’s of course many dangers, arguably none more so than Richard Fahey’s Dare To Hope, but I’m willing to chance Shouldvebeenaring here at 11/4.
For my next and final tip I’m suggesting MIMIKYU at 5/1 in the Sir Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes – a Listed contest over 1m4f for fillies and mares – at 4.10.
John & Thady Gosden’s Dubawi filly is not only right there (third highest) on official ratings, but she’s rapidly improving, gets the trip and will be just fine with the ground. There’s no excuses for her today, just a matter of ‘will she be good enough?’.
I think she will be, as not only was I impressed when she beat Time Lock, who re-opposes today albeit on better terms, at Haydock back in June but when she absolutely bolted up in a little handicap at Newmarket weeks later. She’s had a nice break since, and for me is sure to go close here.